Stocks Rose a Year After Every Midterm Since 1982. Will 2026 Keep the Streak?

Americans voted in the 2026 midterms, with the S&P 500 having gained in the year after all 11 U.S. midterm elections since 1982 and averaging a 13.7% increase. CFRA senior strategist Arun Sundaram said the market has never fallen in the 12 months from October of a midterm year since World War II, when those periods averaged about 16% gains. Bitcoin rose 25%, 45% and 92% a year after the 2014, 2018 and 2022 midterms, though it fell 31% and 46% three months after the 2014 and 2018 votes. CFRA raised its oil forecast to about $85 a barrel next year from $70, and the 10-year Treasury yield slipped below 4.9% on Monday from a 5.3% high a month earlier.