Bettors Expect a Democratic Midterm Win. How Gold, Bitcoin, and Stocks Could Feel It

Prediction market Polymarket gave Democrats a 93% chance of winning the House and a 65% chance of taking the Senate, with Republicans at 8% and 36%, respectively. A CNBC survey found voters in both parties feared what the opposing party would do with Congress, and a recent World Gold Council note examined four policy areas a Democratic Congress could affect: spending, war funding, AI policy and executive power. The note said three of those areas leaned supportive for gold, while Bitcoin’s direction was tied mainly to the dollar and stocks mostly to Treasury yields. Brent crude traded near $114, and gold traded at $4,010.48 on Monday after falling below $4,000 on Friday.